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By: Kirth Gerson

Is the correlation coincidental? I noticed exactly the same thing happening to me after Reagan took office, and again with both Bushes. Those people who say "If you want low unemployment, vote...

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By: five fresh fish

2% approval rating among the black community.

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By: ZachsMind

"Did you actually read the link?" *double take* What? We're supposed to actually READ the links? I been here six years! Why didn't anybody tell me? All I know is, Clinton fixed the economy eight years...

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By: brain_drain

New York Times article discussing Kotlikoff's paper.

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By: Hicksu

Well, I don't feel as bad about buying all that wine now..

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By: illuminatus

I had the privilege of playing in National Security Decision Making Game last weekend. Players take on roles in the governments of various nations, and govern as best they can given outside influences,...

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By: drscroogemcduck

Capitalism relies on consumption. If you shift 100% of government receipts onto a sales tax, you are banking on steady consumption over time, and that your tax will not deter people from consuming....

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By: MattD

It will be hard to save Social Security as we presently know it, becaue it entails either (a) sharply raising the early and regular retirement ages to the point where a lot of people lose their prime...

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By: parmanparman

One acronym: VAT. If we had a value-added tax on all items over say ~$100 we would continue to make groceries and many other items affordable, but improve our ability to tax those who use higher prices...

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By: 517

An article on the M3 that Mutant mentioned that's an interesting read. Raise a 33% sales tax, raise an angry lynching mob, regardless of its actually effects on the economy.

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By: five fresh fish

Maybe we can take care of seniors like we take care of highways: "Adopt a Senior." You'll be volunteering to scrub down some old granny once a week, and to stash a week's worth of instant microwave...

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By: nofundy

The US is bankrupt in more ways than one.

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By: Kirth Gerson

Ah - Robert Reich. To think, I almost got to vote for him for governor. Instead, we wound up with a hairdo named "Mitt."

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By: gsteff

You can't save it by sacrificing everything else. What is this easy solution that won't require any major changes? Change the retirement age to 85? Supereconomist and Clinton labor secretary Robert...

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By: Heywood Mogroot

What is this easy solution that won't require any major changes? Raise the contribution phase-out to $150k.

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By: Kirth Gerson

Instead, 7.6% of their pay is contributed into an IRA-like vehicle, managed by Fidelity Investments. So the smart money - California's largest employer, with all the political clout that entails - have...

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By: Pastabagel

The fact is, we can "save" Social Security pretty easily, and it won't require a major restructuring that would effectively kill it. posted by bshort at 8:39 AM EST on July 17 [+fave] [!] You can't...

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By: JJ86

I can't wait until the government starts their yearly fund-raisers ala public radio with the president getting out there with impassioned pleas to support our nation and give $500-$1000 for a free USA...

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By: bshort

I agree. Anyone under 40 should just assume they will get no Social Security, but that they will have to continue to pay it. And I'm under 40. And the more that you say that, the more likely it is that...

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By: yoga

Year that a signboard tallying the U.S. national debt was erected near Times Square: 1989[Douglas Durst (N.Y.C.)] Year in which it is expected to run out of digits: 2007Harper's Index, June.

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By: scalefree

It's not strictly a double post but I do want to point out my previous comment on the main link.

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By: Heywood Mogroot

Speaking of going bankrupt, who the hell gave the permission for the USG to auction off one of our tropical islands?

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By: Heywood Mogroot

plus 7.5% for FICA ~14% for FICA/MEDICARE. The "employer contribution" is really paid by the employee, even if they don't know it. since they spend almost all of their income it's my general...

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By: JackFlash

Kotlikoff is a long-time proponent of a national sales tax replacing the income tax. He started out in the early 90s on this theme writing for the libertarian Cato Institute. His numbers for a 33%...

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By: ikkyu2

ROU_Xenophobe: I think you're right about that. UC seems to have a two-tier retirement system; docs like me get the full Fidelity-managed thing I described, plus a chance to max out a 403(b) and a...

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By: Heywood Mogroot

this is the GAO. (insert dramatic music) Did you actually read the link? I skimmed it for the $26T for Part D, which I now see I read wrong (it's 1/3rd of the $26T increase in future liabilities from...

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By: Mutant

"I don't understand why they don't just get the treasury to print 66 trillion more dollars..." Curiously, The Fed stopped publishing M3 data recently; this very broad measure of money in circulation...

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By: ROU_Xenophobe

I was amazed to learn that UC employees don't pay into Social Security. Instead, 7.6% of their pay is contributed into an IRA-like vehicle, managed by Fidelity Investments. So the smart money -...

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By: Mutant

Everytime I read papers like this I don't think so much about the problem (not that don't care its just I can't do anything to change it), but more so about how to profit from it. The US Dollar is in...

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By: rough ashlar

I don't understand why they don't just get the treasury to print 66 trillion more dollars... posted by wigu at 11:19 PM PST Who says they ain't?

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By: dobie

Unfortunately for Laurence Kotlikoff's book sales, he doesn't really get to decide now does he? All he's selling is conversation starter until we see real actual international comment on some such.

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By: ikkyu2

I don't understand why they don't just get the treasury to print 66 trillion more dollars... The short answer: Inflation. The long answer: Inflation. Coming soon to a superpower near you!

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By: rolypolyman

I don't understand why they don't just get the treasury to print 66 trillion more dollars... Step this way into the hyperinflation room.

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By: Malor

Heywood, this is the GAO. Did you actually read the link?

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By: Heywood Mogroot

Malor: We have actuarial assumptions to respect wrt SSI payouts, but I'll note that $26T of the GAO's fifty-trillion scare number is Medicare Part D. As for this: Net Present Value means we need fifty...

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By: wigu

I don't understand why they don't just get the treasury to print 66 trillion more dollars...

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By: ikkyu2

All you 'regressive! regressive!' people are encouraged, again, to read the article. (Do you guys show up at local book clubs where you haven't read the book and just start yammering, too?) The...

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By: JackFlash

All of this doomsaying about Social Security plays right into the Bush agenda. The fact is that Social Security can be stabilized to the end of the century with some rather minor changes. Bush wants...

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By: Nahum Tate

"The Veterans Administration (now Department of Veterans Affairs) is now a recognized model for delivering efficient, quality healthcare..." -- Mr. Six I don't know much about economics, but I've been...

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By: aeschenkarnos

I like the idea of an automated payment transaction tax. It's an old idea but now that bank transactions are actually all automated, it would be possible to implement it.

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By: psp200

This is fun, but no discussion on federal taxation is complete without a reference to Edward McCaffery's "Fair Not Flat" tax! You can get a more academic treatment here (or search Lexis or Westlaw)....

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By: Balisong

Just a dumb question, but why can't we just forget about the public debt, like we did for the past two decades? It seems that either way you cut it, the end result is a recession. I'm sure the former...

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By: Pastabagel

The idea that all of the boomers are going to get $1500/month from the govt for the rest of their lives can't happen, and therefore won't happen. posted by Crotalus at 1:14 AM EST on July 17 [+fave]...

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By: Crotalus

We are not going to pay out these entitlements. In 2030 I envision 70- and 80- somethings living in buildings reminiscent of urban housing projects where they are provided food, shelter, and basic...

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By: Malor

The reason we have these huge deficits is because we are unwilling to maintain spending at a level we can afford. It's really that simple. Here's a quote of an earlier comment I posted: "Heywood, [few...

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By: Mr. Six

Perhaps the allegation of regressive taxes on the sales tax could be addressed first, with discussion of the means Kolitsky proposes to alleviate that problem. The problem with the "solution", as such,...

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By: brain_drain

Using the budget simulator Heywood Mogroot linked, I eliminated the deficit by (i) cutting general defense spending by 10%, (ii) cutting Iraq/Afghanistan spending by 50%, and (iii) eliminating the...

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By: UrineSoakedRube

Incidentally, does anyone else have problems with the equations in the pdf file? To me, they appear to be gray rectangles, or in some cases, the subscripts and superscripts are gray squares and...

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By: Heywood Mogroot

Here's an online federal budget simulator. By cutting the military 30-70% (gee, how will they survive on $300B/yr), eliminating the Bush tax cuts on the upper class and halving those for the upper...

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By: dw

Capitalism relies on consumption. If you shift 100% of government receipts onto a sales tax, you are banking on steady consumption over time, and that your tax will not deter people from consuming. The...

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